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UBS has downgraded Nucor Corp and Steel Dynamics to "neutral" from "buy," and Commercial Metals to "sell," citing less attractive risk-reward dynamics after a recent rally. The downgrades follow weak third-quarter earnings and disappointing fourth-quarter guidance amid ongoing pricing and demand pressures in the U.S. steel sector. UBS anticipates a recovery in demand and prices by 2025, but warns of risks, particularly for first-quarter estimates, influenced by a higher yield curve post-election.
UBS has downgraded Nucor Corp and Steel Dynamics to "neutral" from "buy," and Commercial Metals to "sell," citing less favorable risk-reward dynamics after a recent rally. The downgrades are attributed to weak Q3 earnings, disappointing Q4 guidance, and ongoing pricing pressures in the U.S. steel sector. While UBS anticipates a demand recovery by 2025, risks remain, particularly for first-quarter estimates, with price targets set at $149 for Steel Dynamics, $156 for Nucor, and $56 for Commercial Metals.
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